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    Mog Bonanza Number

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    Daleven
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    Mog Bonanza Number

    Post  Daleven on Tue May 19, 2009 3:47 am

    Decided against the /random thing for my numbers this year, opting for higher odds of winning (also last year it was kinda rigged against PS2 users who chose random numbers - lolps2. I'm not a PS2 user of course, but picking your own numbers lowers the chance of it being rigged against you, unless SE just doesn't like you personally tongue ). So here's my approach this year:

    Strategy:
    I have 4 characters to buy marbles with - Daleven, Elvani, Talira, Alamiz
    Fifth digits on each character: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 0
    Fourth digits: Daleven all 4's, Elvani 1's, Talira: 3's, Alamiz: 5's (Used DALE - D is 4th letter in alphabet, A 1st, L 12th, 1+2=3, E is 5th)
    Digits 1-3 on each character: 472 (chosen by in-game /random)

    Results:
    Daleven
    47241
    47242
    47243
    47244
    47245
    47246
    47247
    47248
    47249
    47240
    Elvani
    47211
    47212
    47213
    47214
    47215
    47216
    47217
    47218
    47219
    47210
    Talira
    47231
    47232
    47233
    47234
    47235
    47236
    47237
    47238
    47239
    47230
    Alamiz
    47251
    47252
    47253
    47254
    47255
    47256
    47257
    47258
    47259
    47250

    Resulting odds:
    Rank 5: 100% of 1 win on each character
    Rank 4: 40%
    Rank 3: 10% chance *if* 4th digit matched, so 0.4*0.1=4% chance
    Rank 2: 10% chance *if* 3rd digit matched, so 0.04*0.1=0.4% chance
    Rank 1: 10% chance *if* 2nd digit matched, so 0.004*0.1=0.04% chance

    Obviously no way to get great odds of rank 1 with 40 marbles, but it's better than randoms, which would give you a 40/99999 chance, which is ~0.004%

    Yeah, I'm bored at work tongue
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    Klonen

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    Re: Mog Bonanza Number

    Post  Klonen on Tue May 19, 2009 9:49 am

    Needs more mules. Very Happy
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    Klonen

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    Re: Mog Bonanza Number

    Post  Klonen on Tue May 19, 2009 11:30 am

    Diverting thread: What prizes for each rank would you pick?

    Mine

    1. Gil
    2. Herald's gaiters, or maybe D.chapeau if main wins
    3. Toss up... RDM body, Hauteclaire, or Seveneyes if main wins. Gil/sapphire otherwise
    4. Empress hairpin on main lol. Otherwise most expensive
    5. Fafnir

    harvvu

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    Re: Mog Bonanza Number

    Post  harvvu on Fri May 22, 2009 10:46 pm

    1. Gil
    2. Gil
    3. Gil
    4. Gil
    5. Gil

    i luv me the gillies
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    Nandaryu

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    Location : Zama-shi, Japan

    Re: Mog Bonanza Number

    Post  Nandaryu on Thu May 28, 2009 4:34 am

    Nandaryu Spankyy Deathangel Evilkami Stormofdarkness twinklefairy Traceadkins Tpain Supermantwo Chloesulivan Doomsday Primeminsteraso Reallybigdude obamamademepoor Thelegendofchunli Snakeeyes Silvermist
    38674 38684 38694 38704 38714 38724 38734 38744 38754 38764 38774 38784 38794 38804 38814 38824 38834
    38675 38685 38695 38705 38715 38725 38735 38745 38755 38765 38775 38785 38795 38805 38815 38825 38835
    38676 38686 38696 38706 38716 38726 38736 38746 38756 38766 38776 38786 38796 38806 38816 38826 38836
    38677 38687 38697 38707 38717 38727 38737 38747 38757 38767 38777 38787 38797 38807 38817 38827 38837
    38678 38688 38698 38708 38718 38728 38738 38748 38758 38768 38778 38788 38798 38808 38818 38828 38838
    38679 38689 38699 38709 38719 38729 38739 38749 38759 38769 38779 38789 38799 38809 38819 38829 38839
    38680 38690 38700 38710 38720 38730 38740 38750 38760 38770 38780 38790 38800 38810 38820 38830 38840
    38681 38691 38701 38711 38721 38731 38741 38751 38761 38771 38781 38791 38801 38811 38821 38831 38841
    38682 38692 38702 38712 38722 38732 38742 38752 38762 38772 38782 38792 38802 38812 38822 38832 38842
    38683 38693 38703 38713 38723 38733 38743 38753 38763 38773 38783 38793 38803 38813 38823 38833 38843

    1 Main / 16 Mules (going to start gardening once i get the hang of it) (silvermist 2nd (jp) account)

    Rank 1 Gil (Gungir)
    Rank 2 Gil (Ares)/BB
    Rank 3 Hauteclaire (I do not have pld lvld, but this seems the best out of the rest and would be an incentive to lvl pld)
    Rank 4 Which ever item sells for the most gil (ill wait 3-4 months for price to bounce back in AH) either b-hides or kroma ore
    Rank 5 Fafnir Statue/Merc camp entry ticket (havent made up my mind)
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    Daleven
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    Re: Mog Bonanza Number

    Post  Daleven on Thu May 28, 2009 4:39 am

    That's a lot of numbers Shocked
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    Klonen

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    Re: Mog Bonanza Number

    Post  Klonen on Thu May 28, 2009 9:24 am

    Now that's how it's done.

    harvvu

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    Join date : 2009-04-04

    Re: Mog Bonanza Number

    Post  harvvu on Sat May 30, 2009 4:19 pm

    squeak
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    Nandaryu

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    numbers and what i got... provided i can log on prior to 30th.

    Post  Nandaryu on Tue Jun 16, 2009 4:49 am

    Numbers
    Rank 1: 19367 (all 5 digits) - 74 winners
    Rank 2: 3004 (last 4 digits) - 468 winners
    Rank 3: 800 (last 3 digits) - 4,813 winners
    Rank 4: 27 (last 2 digits) - 68,268 winners
    Rank 5: 3 (last digit) - 642,517 winners

    I won
    17 rank 5 prizes
    2 rank 4 prizes
    1 rank 3 prize (getting Hauteclaire for a mule and lvln pld "Reallybigdude" CoP again HOOOOOOOOYAAAAA)
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    Klonen

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    Re: Mog Bonanza Number

    Post  Klonen on Tue Jun 16, 2009 9:18 am

    Wow nice lol. I have to wait til I get home to see what I won cause I don't have access to my spreadsheet from work Sad

    and grats Dale on your statues! Razz
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    Klonen

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    Re: Mog Bonanza Number

    Post  Klonen on Tue Jun 16, 2009 11:21 am

    I won:

    ...

    1x Rank 4! on a mule, no hairpin for me Sad
    and a lot of rank 5s. yay.

    The higher tier winning numbers had too many zeros in them! Oh well, at least I made back the cost of buying marbles plus a little more.
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    Gcat

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    Re: Mog Bonanza Number

    Post  Gcat on Tue Jun 16, 2009 12:04 pm

    3 rank 5



    and 1 fucking number loff rank 1.................... 19367 mine = 19567


    _________________

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    Klonen

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    Re: Mog Bonanza Number

    Post  Klonen on Tue Jun 16, 2009 12:16 pm

    damn lol

    harvvu

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    Re: Mog Bonanza Number

    Post  harvvu on Wed Jun 17, 2009 12:20 am

    i hate this fuckin game
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    Nandaryu

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    NEW YEARS MOG BANAZA

    Post  Nandaryu on Fri Jan 29, 2010 4:46 am

    58846
    1164
    733
    96
    8


    I won 2 rank4 prizes. 340k for 2 khroma ores, not as great as last time but better then nothing.
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    Daleven
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    Re: Mog Bonanza Number

    Post  Daleven on Fri Jan 29, 2010 4:52 am

    Hmm.. Behemoth or Turtle? Rolling Eyes
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    Daleven
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    Re: Mog Bonanza Number

    Post  Daleven on Fri Jan 29, 2010 4:53 am

    also incase people don't realize, Nan necrobumped last year's thread

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    Re: Mog Bonanza Number

    Post  Guest on Fri Jan 29, 2010 5:54 am

    I think I may have won a rank 1...

    If not, like 1 digit off. o.o My parents said I could activate my account and RMT the gil if I won anything, which I won't do. But basically convinced them to let me have my account for a month nonetheless.

    Maybe. o.o
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    Daleven
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    Re: Mog Bonanza Number

    Post  Daleven on Fri Jan 29, 2010 6:00 am

    When you leave again next month, can I have your stuff?
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    Nandaryu

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    Re: Mog Bonanza Number

    Post  Nandaryu on Fri Jan 29, 2010 6:02 am

    all he has that is not ra/ex is a blau. 2mil to relic maul gogo

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    Re: Mog Bonanza Number

    Post  Guest on Fri Jan 29, 2010 6:24 am

    lolz

    And Blau, about a mil worth of thf gear that's not r/e, prolly get about a mil from my sam and rdm gear too. Plus the 3 ingots I have, and 1mil on my character.

    So... that's about 8mil there buddy.
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    Nandaryu

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    Re: Mog Bonanza Number

    Post  Nandaryu on Fri Jan 29, 2010 7:03 am

    Well congrats on 8 mil Dale.

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    Re: Mog Bonanza Number

    Post  Guest on Fri Jan 29, 2010 7:13 am

    Like I'd give anything to him.

    Guest
    Guest

    Re: Mog Bonanza Number

    Post  Guest on Fri Jan 29, 2010 7:59 am

    Here are my results:
    I lost 80k gil and got -10 inventory space for about a month. Thanks SE.
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    Klonen

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    Re: Mog Bonanza Number

    Post  Klonen on Fri Jan 29, 2010 4:26 pm

    10 inventory times 2k per marble = 80k?

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